1 00:00:00,276 --> 00:00:02,566 Okay, we're into the final stretch here. 2 00:00:02,976 --> 00:00:05,536 And let's go back to our 5-factor example. 3 00:00:06,456 --> 00:00:16,256 Remember there, we had the defining relationship that: I = ABD = ACE = BCDE So, 4 00:00:16,256 --> 00:00:21,316 the way we use this defining relationship, is that if we want to find the terms that are going 5 00:00:21,316 --> 00:00:27,276 to be aliased with, for example, factor B, we go and multiply every word 6 00:00:27,446 --> 00:00:36,196 in the defining relationship with that letter B. So let's see what we get: 7 00:00:36,506 --> 00:00:45,086 IB = ABDB = ACEB = BCDEB We can simplify that a bit. 8 00:00:45,726 --> 00:00:50,066 Remember the rule that any two letters can be dropped away when they are the same, 9 00:00:50,516 --> 00:00:53,736 because they are equal to the identity, or a column of ones. 10 00:00:53,736 --> 00:01:04,306 So this becomes: B = AD = ABCE = CDE Let's interpret that quickly. 11 00:01:05,116 --> 00:01:10,046 It tells me that factor B is going to be aliased with the AD interaction, 12 00:01:10,346 --> 00:01:16,816 as well as the fourth order interaction of ABCE and the third order interaction of CDE. 13 00:01:17,886 --> 00:01:22,356 Now typically, we'll ignore interactions equal to third order or higher 14 00:01:22,636 --> 00:01:24,686 because they're almost are never existent. 15 00:01:24,786 --> 00:01:29,766 So really, the only practical interaction confounded with the main effect of B, 16 00:01:30,046 --> 00:01:32,296 is the two factor interaction of AD. 17 00:01:32,876 --> 00:01:36,906 Try this for yourself now, and figure out what factor C is confounded with. 18 00:01:36,906 --> 00:01:42,556 C = ABCD = AE = BDE One last one, and this is a little surprising. 19 00:01:42,666 --> 00:01:48,076 Find out what factor A is confounded with, and before you go further with the video, 20 00:01:48,506 --> 00:01:53,306 try to also figure out in your mind what the practical implication of your answer is. 21 00:01:53,306 --> 00:02:02,256 A = BD = CE = ABCDE The implication is clearer, when I write out the aliasing, 22 00:02:02,666 --> 00:02:06,376 only showing those aliases up to the second order level. 23 00:02:06,426 --> 00:02:09,926 So, ignoring third factor and higher interactions. 24 00:02:11,696 --> 00:02:16,156 So what I learned here, is that I would plan my experiments ahead of time, 25 00:02:16,586 --> 00:02:22,126 to assign to factor A, a factor that I'm not too concerned about estimating clearly. 26 00:02:23,246 --> 00:02:28,736 That's because factor A is confounded with two second order interactions. 27 00:02:29,326 --> 00:02:33,606 The other factors are only confounded with a single second-order interaction. 28 00:02:33,606 --> 00:02:40,536 For example, in a baking experiment I might be curious about the effect of baking temperature. 29 00:02:41,096 --> 00:02:44,656 But I'm only including that temperature factor because I'm curious, 30 00:02:44,826 --> 00:02:46,736 not for actual use in the future. 31 00:02:47,236 --> 00:02:51,146 So then, I'm quite happy to go assign temperature to be factor A. 32 00:02:51,616 --> 00:02:56,236 Because if it is going to be confounded with two of these second-order interactions, 33 00:02:56,666 --> 00:02:58,696 I might not be too concerned about it. 34 00:02:58,696 --> 00:03:04,446 Factors that I really want to estimate clearly, I will assign either to B, C, D, 35 00:03:04,526 --> 00:03:11,576 or E. Another way that I can use this: let's say, I know that there's no physical way 36 00:03:11,656 --> 00:03:14,296 that factor A times B could interact. 37 00:03:15,026 --> 00:03:17,166 Maybe factor A is the baking temperature 38 00:03:17,726 --> 00:03:21,296 and factor B is the stirring speed when I made my recipe. 39 00:03:21,456 --> 00:03:24,076 It's unlikely that there will be an interaction between those two. 40 00:03:24,876 --> 00:03:29,916 Now what I can go do, is I can go recognize, factor D is now aliased 41 00:03:29,916 --> 00:03:32,266 with a term that is guaranteed to be zero. 42 00:03:32,306 --> 00:03:36,876 So this estimate of factor D, is going to be a pure estimate of that factor. 43 00:03:37,766 --> 00:03:43,076 One final item I'd like to draw your attention to, is to notice that many factors are aliased 44 00:03:43,076 --> 00:03:45,616 with two factor interactions, in this example. 45 00:03:45,986 --> 00:03:47,976 We call that the "resolution" of the design. 46 00:03:48,736 --> 00:03:52,526 Resolution gives me an idea of the level of confounding in the design. 47 00:03:52,796 --> 00:03:54,756 And I'm going to talk about that in a minute. 48 00:03:55,436 --> 00:03:58,816 Now you could step back and ask, what if you wanted a design 49 00:03:59,016 --> 00:04:03,476 when main effects are only aliased with 3rd order interactions? 50 00:04:04,206 --> 00:04:05,116 Is that possible? 51 00:04:05,656 --> 00:04:06,736 Well, that is possible. 52 00:04:06,736 --> 00:04:11,026 Such fractional factorial designs are called resolution IV designs. 53 00:04:11,516 --> 00:04:15,066 The three in a three-factor interaction plus a one 54 00:04:15,066 --> 00:04:18,146 from the main effect adds up to give you a four. 55 00:04:18,366 --> 00:04:21,526 I'm going to give you a useful way to remember that rule shortly. 56 00:04:22,086 --> 00:04:27,656 But before we do that, in the prior video, did you try the example where I'd asked you to look 57 00:04:27,656 --> 00:04:30,606 at 16 experiments using six factors? 58 00:04:30,606 --> 00:04:35,456 If you did, you would have recalled that the defining relationship there was: 59 00:04:35,456 --> 00:04:46,426 I = ABCE = BCDF = ADEF Let's quickly go check what factor A, the main effect, is aliased with. 60 00:04:46,426 --> 00:04:58,376 If you do the calculation, you see that A is aliased: A = BCE = ABCDF = DEF Notice 61 00:04:58,376 --> 00:05:00,716 that there are no 2-factor interactions. 62 00:05:01,526 --> 00:05:04,656 The lowest interaction here is a third order interaction. 63 00:05:04,746 --> 00:05:10,206 This is a great design if you want good, clear estimates of the main effect. 64 00:05:10,656 --> 00:05:15,656 Because as we've said several times now, third order or higher interaction seldom exist. 65 00:05:17,496 --> 00:05:21,026 What would a 2-factor interaction be aliased with in this example? 66 00:05:22,036 --> 00:05:23,976 Try that on the CD interaction. 67 00:05:23,976 --> 00:05:36,246 Let's go check: CD = ABDE = BF = ACEF It seems that this 2-factor interaction, 68 00:05:36,366 --> 00:05:39,036 is only aliased with another 2-factor interaction. 69 00:05:39,036 --> 00:05:45,156 If you've got lots of time on your hand, you can go try all possible combinations 70 00:05:45,156 --> 00:05:47,926 to go make sure that this general rule holds. 71 00:05:48,216 --> 00:05:50,646 That two-factor interactions are only aliased 72 00:05:50,646 --> 00:05:54,156 with other two-factor interactions and higher, in this design. 73 00:05:54,156 --> 00:06:00,346 Fortunately other people have gone and done the work and reported it for us. 74 00:06:00,406 --> 00:06:04,156 The answer has actually been here all along in the trade off table. 75 00:06:04,156 --> 00:06:07,506 See the Roman numeral in each cell? 76 00:06:08,156 --> 00:06:10,246 That is the resolution of the experiment. 77 00:06:11,276 --> 00:06:16,656 In the example with 16 experiments and six factors, we had a resolution IV design. 78 00:06:17,606 --> 00:06:21,826 In our prior example, with five factors and eight experiments, 79 00:06:21,856 --> 00:06:24,456 we had what was called a resolution III design. 80 00:06:24,986 --> 00:06:28,266 Because main effects were confounded with two-factor interactions. 81 00:06:29,386 --> 00:06:35,816 The resolution is always equal to the length of the shortest word in the defining relationship. 82 00:06:35,946 --> 00:06:39,656 So, here's one useful way to remember resolution. 83 00:06:40,466 --> 00:06:44,396 If you have a resolution III design, you're going to have confounding 84 00:06:44,666 --> 00:06:47,976 between main effects and two-factor interactions. 85 00:06:48,166 --> 00:06:52,566 If you have a resolution IV design, then you're going to have confounding 86 00:06:52,566 --> 00:06:56,506 between two-factor interactions and other two-factor interactions. 87 00:06:57,186 --> 00:07:02,056 Also, your main effects are going to be confounded with three factor interactions. 88 00:07:02,996 --> 00:07:08,236 And then finally the resolution V design has main effects confounded 89 00:07:08,236 --> 00:07:13,046 with four-factor interactions, and your three-factor interactions are confounded 90 00:07:13,046 --> 00:07:15,836 with two-factor interactions and vice versa. 91 00:07:17,916 --> 00:07:21,596 Resolution III designs are what are called "screening designs". 92 00:07:22,106 --> 00:07:25,176 They are screening to see which of the factors are important. 93 00:07:25,976 --> 00:07:27,376 We know some of them will be. 94 00:07:27,516 --> 00:07:29,336 We just aren't sure which ones yet. 95 00:07:29,996 --> 00:07:32,126 We're willing to confound main effects 96 00:07:32,126 --> 00:07:35,586 and two factor interactions during a screening experiment. 97 00:07:37,036 --> 00:07:43,166 Resolution IV designs are used when you need a bit of, um, resolution or clarity in your model. 98 00:07:43,846 --> 00:07:49,746 These models are perfectly good at making robust predictions and work well for many situations. 99 00:07:50,486 --> 00:07:53,366 They are good for characterizing or describing a system. 100 00:07:54,706 --> 00:07:57,856 The ultimate level of resolution is a level V design. 101 00:07:57,896 --> 00:08:03,476 Such designs have very high fidelity predictions and should be the design you pick 102 00:08:03,476 --> 00:08:07,266 when you have a large budget, and you really need to model 103 00:08:07,366 --> 00:08:10,326 and predict subtle interactions in the system. 104 00:08:11,616 --> 00:08:14,516 In the course textbook we show two examples, 105 00:08:14,886 --> 00:08:17,996 one with seven factors and another with eight factors. 106 00:08:18,596 --> 00:08:23,126 Go through those examples and really see how fractional factorials are used. 107 00:08:24,006 --> 00:08:26,556 All the details on calculating the generators 108 00:08:26,636 --> 00:08:29,526 and the defining relationships are given in those examples. 109 00:08:30,276 --> 00:08:33,836 You can use these quick sequence of steps as a general approach. 110 00:08:34,486 --> 00:08:38,476 Read the generator from the trade off table. 111 00:08:38,686 --> 00:08:42,316 Multiply the generators to express them as I = .... 112 00:08:43,266 --> 00:08:48,026 Take all combinations of the words from the rearranged generators 113 00:08:48,236 --> 00:08:53,786 to form the defining relationship Remember the defining relationship has two to the power 114 00:08:53,786 --> 00:08:59,076 of "p" words, where "p" is the measure of reduction in our experimental efforts. 115 00:08:59,076 --> 00:09:02,646 Use the full defining relationship to compute the aliasing pattern. 116 00:09:02,646 --> 00:09:07,816 Lastly, use the full defining relationship to compute the aliasing pattern. 117 00:09:07,816 --> 00:09:10,156 Make sure the aliasing is not problematic. 118 00:09:10,156 --> 00:09:13,036 If it is, go ahead and reassign your letters, or pick a different design. 119 00:09:13,036 --> 00:09:16,266 Otherwise, you're ready to start your experiments. 120 00:09:16,266 --> 00:09:20,736 The general rule, is to pick a design that has the highest resolution possible. 121 00:09:21,506 --> 00:09:26,386 That means, we should move over to the left of the table but this is counteracted 122 00:09:26,386 --> 00:09:31,806 by our general desire to include as many factors as we can especially for screening designs. 123 00:09:32,156 --> 00:09:35,136 That says we should move over to the right hand side of the table. 124 00:09:35,926 --> 00:09:41,026 That's why this is a tradeoff table, include as many factors as you can afford over here 125 00:09:41,026 --> 00:09:46,086 on the right but get pulled over to the left again, to get the resolution 126 00:09:46,146 --> 00:09:49,806 that matches your objective, and that's the key thing, 127 00:09:50,196 --> 00:09:52,976 what is your objective with these experiments. 128 00:09:53,026 --> 00:09:57,716 I often work with companies, and regularly see them deciding to eliminate factors, 129 00:09:57,716 --> 00:10:01,816 so that they can get a high resolution, or a full factorial design even. 130 00:10:01,816 --> 00:10:05,536 This is before they have run even a single experiment. 131 00:10:05,536 --> 00:10:09,836 If you're just starting out and trying to learn about your system, 132 00:10:10,346 --> 00:10:14,426 it is a good bet that you want to be as far over to the right as you can. 133 00:10:14,856 --> 00:10:17,466 And include as many factors as you can. 134 00:10:18,376 --> 00:10:22,666 It is premature to eliminate factors based on your intuition. 135 00:10:23,446 --> 00:10:28,606 Rather use the evidence from the experimental data, to prove to yourself 136 00:10:28,606 --> 00:10:31,986 and to your colleagues that you can now eliminate that factor. 137 00:10:32,686 --> 00:10:35,366 There's an example to demonstrate this in the next video. 138 00:10:35,906 --> 00:10:39,696 We know this has been a long module; the concepts introduced are critical though 139 00:10:39,696 --> 00:10:43,806 for saving yourself the time, and money, instead of running full factorials.